There are four candidates in the US Senate Democratic primary and the first poll on this election shows the entire range for all 4 candidates within the margin of error, which is 4 points.
This poll demonstrates a few new things to be on the lookout for in this election cycle:
- Traditional ways of running elections are changing. Despite one candidate spending at least an order of magnitude more than some of the other candidates, the race is still a statistical dead-heat.
- One’s stance, or lack of a strong stance, on SB1070 and other recently signed bills will be a major issue in the primary.
- SB1070 may have been the alarm clock for the proverbial sleeping giant. Events such as Alto Arizona had around a hundred-thousand people marching to the state capitol, and that’s only a fraction of the people who are fed up with the direction Arizona is heading and that John McCain is supporting. Expect the demographics of the voting population to change considerably.
- This race is still anyone’s to win, and will be dependent on who gets the majority of the undecided voters to break the current 4-way statistical tie.
All in all, the Democratic primary has transformed from being a boring no-contest race to one with 4 candidates running. This is what democracy is all about, and it also looks like there will finally be a debate in Phoenix on July 9th. Two other debates are also planned, one in Flagstaff and one in Tucson, but there is no word yet on whether all 4 candidates will be in attendance, but at least 3 of the 4 will be there.
It is going to be a fun primary race to watch, especially since the winner will be taking on the winner of the McCain/Hayworth/Deakin race, and there are sure to be fireworks long after July 4th!
Who will the clear front-runner be? Only time will tell…